Incorporating textual and management factors into financial distress prediction: A comparative study of machine learning methods

Financial distress prediction (FDP) has been widely considered as a promising approach to reducing financial losses. While financial information comprises the traditional factors involved in FDP, nonfinancial factors have also been examined in recent studies. In light of this, the purpose of this study is to explore the integrated factors and multiple models that can improve the predictive performance of FDP models. This study proposes an FDP framework to reveal the financial distress features of listed Chinese companies, incorporating financial, management, and textual factors, and evaluating the prediction performance of multiple models in different time spans. To develop this framework, this study employs the wrapper-based feature selection method to extract valuable features, and then constructs multiple single classifiers, ensemble classifiers, and deep learning models in order to predict financial distress. The experiment results indicate that management and textual factors can supplement traditional financial factors in FDP, especially textual ones. This study also discovers that integrated factors collected 4 years prior to the predicted benchmark year enable a more accurate prediction, and the ensemble classifiers and deep learning models developed can achieve satisfactory FDP performance. This study makes a novel contribution as it expands the predictive factors of financial distress and provides new findings that can have important implications for providing early warning signals of financial risk.     

Nest structure and all stages of the long-cheeked yellow jacket Dolichovespula intermedia Birula (Hymenoptera: Vespidae)

Nest structure, morphology of all stages and behaviour have contributed to the phylogenetic and taxonomic studies of social vespids. Two aerial nests of Dolichovespula intermedia were discovered in China. The morphology of the three castes, the five larval instars, and the nest structure of D. intermedia Birula, are described in detail and illustrated. The presence of only one campaniform sensillum above each labial palp and the dense minute spicules on the posterior gena found in D. intermedia larvae are mentioned here for the first time for Dolichovespula. The identification characters between D. intermedia and Dolichovespula sylvestris are briefly discussed.     

关于Green定理的向量形式

通过引入梯度、旋度和散度,得到Green定理的向量形式.     

Latent Co-interests' Relationship Prediction

With the development of the social media and Internet, discovering latent information from massive information is becoming particularly relevant to improving user experience. Research efforts based on preferences and relationships between users have attracted more and more attention. Predictive problems, such as inferring friend relationship and co-author relationship between users have been explored. However, many such methods are based on analyzing either node features or the network structures separately, few have tried to tackle both of them at the same time. In this paper, in order to discover latent co-interests’ relationship, we not only consider users’ attributes but network information as well. In addition, we propose an Interest-based Factor Graph Model (I-FGM) to incorporate these factors. Experiments on two data sets (bookmarking and music network) demonstrate that this predictive method can achieve better results than the other three methods (ANN, NB, and SVM).     

基于回归分析视频中太阳影子时空定位的研究

针对阳光下物体影子变化的过程,分析时序数据确立特定物体所在地。运用三角函数关系与太阳高度角决定公式确立影长决定公式,最小二乘法确立影长变化函数,日期时间已知时使用正午太阳高度角与逆推影长决定公式得特定物体所在地的经度和纬度,仅时间已知使引入半昼长计算公式与简便正午太阳高度角计算公式联立,得到经纬度推算出日期,最后处理视频得到影长变化数据再计算如前,通过视频中特定物体影长的变化确立视频拍摄日期与地点。     

腹腔镜胃癌根治术与传统胃癌根治术的临床效果比较

目的:比较腹腔镜胃癌根治术与传统胃癌根治术的临床效果。方法:回顾分析2010年10月至2013年10月大理大学附属医院行腹腔镜胃癌根治术及胃癌根治术共103例胃癌患者的临床资料,分析比较两组患者的临床效果。结果:应用腹腔镜组平均出血量为(153.05±11.71)m L,明显少于开腹手术的(278.45±12.65)m L(P<0.05)。腹腔镜组的平均术后恢复肛门排气时间(3.10±0.62)d,低于开腹手术组的(5.58±1.12)d(P<0.05)。腹腔镜组平均术后住院时间为(14.25±2.78)d,明显低于开腹手术的(22.07±3.59)d(P<0.05)。生存率:行腹腔镜手术者1年总生存率94.1%,开腹手术总生存率92.1%(P>0.05)。结论:腹腔镜胃癌根治术具有术中出血少、术后住院天数少、并发症少等优点,治疗效果与开腹手术相当。     

从三峡工程建设谈我国当前 的企业创新工作

企业创新是建立创新型国家的根本要求。三峡工程建设者通过集成创新、引进消化吸收再创新和 原始创新,实现了在大坝混凝土快速施工技术、７０万kW水轮机水力设计安装制造、双线五级船闸高边坡稳定 支护等１００多项关键技术的重大突破。但当前我国的大多数企业存在着技术引进消化吸收率低、自主知识产 权少、研发投入不足等严重制约创新的突出问题。为实现到２０２０年建设创新型国家的目标,我国企业需要在 挖掘自主创新能力、加强创新队伍建设等六个方面去培育和提高企业的创新能力。     

高速铁路运行引发的低频振动的隔振分析

针对传统隔振方法对低频振动无法取得较好效果的问题,分析了波阻块( WIB)和蜂窝形波阻块( HWIB)对高速铁路引发的低频振动的隔振效果.首先建立了列车-路基的数值计算模型,将列车荷载简化为沿路基向前的移动荷载列,并采用基于拉格朗日算法的有限差分软件计算了埋设WIB和HWIB前后场地土的振动情况,最后与空沟的隔振效果进...     

Coral reef ecosystems in the South China Sea as a source of atmospheric CO<Subscript>2</Subscript> in summer

Field measurements of air-sea CO2 exchange in three coral reef areas of the South China Sea (i.e. the Yongshu Reef atoll of the Nansha Islands, southern South China Sea (SCS); Yongxing Island of Xisha Islands, north-central SCS; and Luhuitou Fringing Reef in Sanya of Hainan Island, northern SCS) during the summers of 2008 and 2009 revealed that both air and surface seawater partial pressures of CO2 (pCO2) showed regular diurnal cycles. Minimum values occurred in the evening and maximum values in the morning. Air pCO2 in each of the three study areas showed small diurnal variations, while large diurnal variations were ob-served in seawater pCO2. The diurnal variation amplitude of seawater pCO2 was ~70 μmol mol–1 at the Yongshu Reef lagoon, 420–619 μmol mol–1 on the Yongxing Island reef flat, and 264–579 μmol mol–1 on the reef flat of the Luhuitou Fringing Reef, and 324–492 μmol mol–1 in an adjacent area just outside of this fringing reef. With respect to spatial relations, there were large differences in air-sea CO2 flux across the South China Sea (e.g. ~0.4 mmol CO2 m–2 d–1 at Yongshu Reef, ~4.7 mmol CO2 m–2 d–1 at Yongxing Island, and ~9.8 mmol CO2 m–2 d–1 at Luhuitou Fringing Reef). However, these positive values suggest that coral reef ecosystems of the SCS may be a net source of CO2 to the atmosphere. Additional analyses indicated that diurnal variations of surface seawater pCO2 in the shallow water reef flat are controlled mainly by biological metabolic processes, while those of deeper water lagoons and outer reef areas are regulated by both biological metabolism and hydrodynamic factors. Unlike the open ocean, inorganic metabolism plays a significant role in influencing seawater pCO2 variations in coral reef ecosystems.     

浅议水利水电工程中混凝土的施工管理

文章通过对水利水电工程中混凝土施工存在的问题的分析,简述了如何加强计划、技术、质量、成本四方面的管理.